Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Posted By on Tue, Nov 13, 2018 at 12:38 PM

UA Climate Adaptation Science Center receives $4.5M (2)
Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center

The Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center, SW CASC, at the University of Arizona received a $4.5 million grant from the United States Geological Survey to support research on climate science and adaptation in the Southern Arizona region.

SW CASC was originally established in 2011 and is responsible for researching the adaptation impacts of land, water and wildlife in the southwest.

With the grant, the SW CASC will be able to continue its seven-year research in partnership with the United States Geological Survey, USGS, to assess the southwest's scientific needs. 
UA Climate Adaptation Science Center receives $4.5M
Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center
UA Climate Adaptation Science Center receives $4.5 M for research


Researchers at the SW CASC will be able to use the funds to research topics including vegetation conversion, the theory that after destructive natural events such as wildfires and pathogen outbreaks, new species will appear in the landscapes effected. 

The center also announced that it will continue research on drought, the steady increase of summer and winter temperatures and flood risks due to increases in rainfall.

Stephen Jackson is the USGS director of the SW CASC and adjunct professor of geoscience and natural resources and environment at UA. Jackson said that the research would also be able to help other parts of the country.

"The entire world is going to be and already is facing impacts of climate change, but in the southwest, we're seeing it faster and more intensely," Jackson said. "Seeing this first puts us in a good position to tell people in other parts of the country what challenges might be coming to them and pass along information about how to adapt."

To read more about the Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center, click here.

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Monday, November 12, 2018

Posted By on Mon, Nov 12, 2018 at 6:18 PM

click to enlarge Sinema: "I’m Honored That Arizonans Chose Our Vision of a Better Arizona"
Courtesy
Kyrsten Sinema
Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema's prepared remarks tonight as she made a victory speech after being declared the first Democrat to win a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona since U.S. Sen. Dennis DeConcini called it quits in 1994:

Hello, everyone! Thank you so much for being here.

I’m honored to be here today with Arizona veterans - the brave men and women who have worn our country’s uniform. Today, and every day, we honor their service and sacrifice. They’ve given everything to protect our freedoms and our democracy, and it’s because of them that we are here today.

I’m grateful to all veterans and servicemembers - including my brothers, Paul and Sterling, and my opponent, Congresswoman McSally.

We launched this campaign because Arizona veterans and all everyday Arizonans deserve a leader who will fight for them in the United States Senate. Together, over the last 13 months, we have accomplished something incredible. We’ve talked to and engaged more Arizonans than ever before.

We did this because voting is a fundamental part of our democracy. Our country is its best when everyone is engaged and everyone’s voice is heard. That work isn’t over, and we will continue to make sure every vote is counted.

I’m honored that Arizonans chose our vision of a better Arizona. Now, it’s time to get work.

Arizonans had a choice between two very different ways forward — one focused on fear and party politics, and one focused on Arizona and the issues that matter to everyday families.

Arizonans rejected what has become far too common in our country: name calling, petty, personal attacks, doing and saying whatever it takes just to get elected. It’s dangerous, and it lessens who we are as a country.

Arizona proved that there is a better way forward. We can work with people who are different than us. We can be friends with people who are different than us. We can love and care about people who are different than us. We can keep people who are different than us safe. We can be good people who care deeply about each other even when we disagree.

We can start by listening to someone with a different opinion – listening not to rebut or debate, but listening to understand.

We can try to understand another person's life experiences and perspective. We can try to imagine what another person's life might be like, that perhaps her experiences have shaped her life just like our experiences have shaped ours.

We can articulate our own opinions and beliefs without believing or saying that someone else's are therefore wrong. We can embrace difference while seeking common ground.

As I head to serve our great state in the United States Senate, I pledge to double down on this approach. During my six years in Congress, I’ve tried to be a cheerful warrior, willing to work with literally anyone to get things done.

I’ve tried hard to help others see our common humanity and find our common ground. I’m proud of how this approach has worked. We’ve delivered real results for families, veterans, and business in Arizona.

During this campaign I have been honored to meet with thousands of Arizonans in their workplaces, in coffee shops, in neighborhoods. Listening to their stories reminded me each and every day why we do this work and how much is left to do.

One of the very first Arizonans to join our campaign was Leo. Leo is a proud Air Force veteran who served our country with honor and dignity. Today, he’s battling cancer. In between chemo treatments, he spent his time calling Arizona voters because he knows firsthand how much is on the line.

A woman named Michelle from Glendale recently shared her story. Her son was born with one kidney and she’s worried about how she will afford his care if we lose protections for pre-existing conditions.

In Tucson, I met Anne. Her husband is a disabled veteran. He served in Vietnam and has lived with the affects of Agent Orange ever since. It is our responsibility as Americans to make sure every veteran gets the care he or she deserves.

This campaign was about Leo and Michelle and Anne and all the other everyday Arizonans who are sick and tired of the dysfunction in Washington and who want leaders who put aside party labels and focus on just getting things done.

As your Senator, that’s exactly what I’ll do. Not by calling names or playing political games, but by showing up and doing the work to keep Arizona moving forward.

A few months ago, we lost a legend who exemplified that spirit and all the best of Arizona. His example shines a light on the way forward.

Sen. John McCain stood for everything we stand for as Arizonans: fighting for what you believe in, standing up for what’s right even if you stand alone, and serving a cause greater than one’s self.

Sen. McCain is irreplaceable, but his example will guide our next steps forward. He taught us to always assume the best in others, to seek compromise instead of sewing division, and to always put country ahead of party.

It’s up to us to carry on Sen. McCain’s legacy.

Almost everywhere I go, I’m asked a variation of the same question - how did our country get to this place, and how can we make it better? Sometimes the question is targeted towards Congress - how to get elected officials to break the gridlock and work together. Sometimes the question is about the television commercials - how to get the ugliness to stop. But in each question, the root is the same. What has happened and how can we fix it?

Everyone recognizes that it’s broken. And really, we all know the solution. We - we the citizens of this great country - we must fix it. We must be an active part of the solution. We must be willing to put down our sticks sharpened for battle. We must be willing to turn to our neighbors and pick them up instead.

Our challenge today is to heal the rent in our country’s fabric, to come together as a people and as a nation, to set aside our minor differences and unite around our love of country and its fundamental freedoms guaranteed by our great constitution.

Senator McCain said “But we have always had so much more in common with each other than in disagreement. If only we remember that and give each other the benefit of the presumption that we all love our country we will get through these challenging times.”

It won’t be easy, and it won’t happen overnight, but we can work together to meet the challenges our country faces. We can do this differently. For our country, for our future, for Sen. McCain, and for each other I think we must.

Thank you.
Congresswoman Martha McSally congratulated Sinema and gave her concession speech via Twitter.

Posted By on Mon, Nov 12, 2018 at 5:06 PM


Democrat Kyrsten Sinema has widened her lead over Republican Martha McSally by 38,197 votes following the latest ballot tabulations around Arizona today. Given that McSally continues to lose ground each day and fewer and fewer ballots are outstanding, the odds of a GOP comeback become slimmer with each day.


Meanwhile, Democrat Katie Hobbs has taken a significant lead over Republican Steve Gaynor in the Arizona Secretary of State race. Hobbs now leads Gaynor by 5,667 votes.


And in the race for two seats in the Arizona Corporation Commission race, Democrat Sandra Kennedy and Republican incumbent Justin Olson remain in the lead. Republican Rodney Glassman is trailing Kennedy by nearly 15,000 votes.

Posted By on Mon, Nov 12, 2018 at 11:57 AM


I joined the Arizona Daily Star's Sarah Garrecht Gassen and the Green Valley News' Dan Shearer to talk about the aftermath of last week's election on Arizona Public Media's Arizona 360.

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Posted By on Mon, Nov 12, 2018 at 11:35 AM

Defeated Dingbat Congressman Blames McCain for GOP Losing House of Reps
Jason Lewis: Such a nice man! Why did those sluts in Minnesota vote against him?
CNN reports:

A Republican unseated in the midterm elections last week has come out with an op-ed blaming the late Arizona GOP Sen. John McCain for the party losing control of the House.

In a Wall Street Journal opinion piece, outgoing Minnesota GOP Rep. Jason Lewis pinned the wave of Democratic victories last week on McCain's vote in July 2017 to sink a GOP attempt to repeal Obamacare.

"McCain's last-minute decision prompted a 'green wave' of liberal special-interest money, which was used to propagate false claims that the House plan 'gutted coverage for people with pre-existing conditions,'" Lewis wrote.

The classic strategy of blaming the dead guy.

Of course, it could be that Republicans—over the last eight years—have failed to come up with a serious alternative to Obamacare that actually does protect people with pre-existing conditions. Or, as President Donald Trump observed during the 2017 health care debate: "Nobody knew health care could be so complicated."

McCain's daughter, Meghan McCain, responds via Twitter:
A note on why women might not have favored the GOP this year, from the CNN story:

Lewis hails from Minnesota's second district and was defeated by Democrat Angie Craig. The race attracted some national attention after a CNN review of audio from a radio program Lewis hosted found that the congressman had a history of misogynistic comments, including complaining people could not call women "sluts."

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Sunday, November 11, 2018

Posted By on Sun, Nov 11, 2018 at 5:08 PM



An update to our earlier post thanks to a new batch of ballots from Pinal County: Democrat Kyrsten Sinema's lead over Republican Martha McSally now stands at 32,292 votes. McSally has fallen further behind with each Maricopa County tabulation dump and only picked up 348 votes in Pinal County, which has an estimated 15K ballots left to count.

Sinema's campaign calls her lead "insurmountable":

With the latest ballot count, Kyrsten’s lead is insurmountable. McSally’s campaign said today’s results would be her ‘firewall’ but as we expected, no firewall emerged. McSally has lost every batch of votes from Maricopa County and today, Kyrsten won by 6.25 percent – nearly double her overall performance in the county to date. Kyrsten has now expanded her overall lead to 32,640 or 1.52 percent, meaning McSally would have to win the remainder of Maricopa County ballots by 22 percent to take the lead in this race. This is not plausible. Kyrsten will be declared the next U.S. Senator from Arizona.
 Team McSally is holding out hope:

Today our vote total grew at a greater rate than expected, and we expanded our vote margins in rural areas counting mail-in ballots dropped off on election day. The latest release provides compelling evidence that the remaining uncounted ballots are favorable to Martha. And we will continue our effort to make sure all lawful ballots are counted.

Team McSally's argument would be more persuasive if the rural counties had a significant number of ballots to count.

In other races: Democrat Katie Hobbs, who had taken a 150-lead over Republican Steve Gaynor after Maricopa County reported its tally today, has fallen behind Republican Steve Gaynor by 259 votes in the race for Arizona Secretary of State. This looks to be a wild one.


And Republican Rodney Glassman remains 10,000 votes behind the two leading candidates in the race for two seats on the Arizona Corporation Commission. If this trend holds, APS could be in for some real trouble, should current Corp Commissioner Bob Burns become chair of the ACC. Details to follow.

Maricopa County Recorder Adrian Fontes estimates Maricopa County still has 162K ballots to process and a new batch will be counted and released at 5 p.m. Monday, Nov. 12.

That's probably not good news for McSally, who is trailing in Maricopa County by more than 46K votes.


Garrett Archer, aka AZ Data Guru, estimates there are now just under 220K ballots left to count.


This post has been updated and corrected to properly characterize Team Sinema's statement.

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Saturday, November 10, 2018

Posted By on Sat, Nov 10, 2018 at 5:22 PM


With Maricopa County delivering a number batch of ballot results, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema is now leading Republican Martha McSally in the race for U.S. Senate. Hard to see how McSally comes back after this.

Meanwhile, Democrat Sandra Kennedy has jumped into first place over Republicans Justin Olson and Rodney Glassman in the race for two seats on the Arizona Corporation Commission.
And in the contest for Arizona Secretary of State, Democrat Katie Hobbs has closed within 3,158 votes. Stay tuned: Rumor has it there's rougly 250K ballots left to count out there.

Update: AZ Data Guru puts the estimate of outstanding ballots at 268K. With 198K of those in Maricopa County and 36K in Pima County (where Sinema has been beating McSally), it sure sounds like McSally is gonna have to count on getting appointed to the McCain/Kyl seat if she's going back to D.C.

Friday, November 9, 2018

Posted By on Fri, Nov 9, 2018 at 5:07 PM

With the latest drop of ballots from Maricopa County, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema now has a 21,185-vote lead over Republican Martha McSally in Arizona's hotly contested race for U.S. Senate. That's gonna be hard for McSally to recover from, especially with 60,000 Pima County early ballots yet to count.


In other AZ election news, Democrat Sandra Kennedy has moved narrowly ahead of wretched-excuse-for-a-human-being and Republican candidate Rodney Glassman in the race for Arizona Corporation Commission.

Garrett Archer, the data guru at the Arizona Secretary of State's Office, has deleted an earlier estimate of about 362K ballots left to count.

Posted By on Fri, Nov 9, 2018 at 2:57 PM

As water utility officials in Marana and Tucson combat elevated chemical levels in the wells servicing their residential and commercial areas, the two municipalities have jointly filed a lawsuit against the five companies they deem responsible.

The lawsuit seeks to collect reparations for the cost of “treating and removing contamination from public drinking water supply wells,” according to a press release.

The Nov. 7 complaint was filed against 3M, Buckeye Fire Equipment, Chemguard, Inc., Tyco Fire Products L.P. and National Foam, Inc, companies that produced and sold aqueous film-forming foam (AFFF), a firefighting product containing the chemicals PFOA and PFOS. Although these chemicals are present in everyday products such as non-stick pans, the lawsuit singles out AFFF because Davis-Monthan Air Force Base has used the product for decades.

That activity is believed to have contaminated three wells just north of the base, and seven in Marana’s residential areas. Officials have shut down these wells to treat existing water systems or establish new ones.

“The way they were disposing of it they were hosing it into the soil and dumping it into the sewer system,” said City of Tucson Councilmember Steve Kozachik. “It doesn’t take a genius to figure out the connection there if they are dumping into the sewer system there and we have a sewer treatment plant in Marana.”

The marketable qualities of PFOA and PFOS are also what make it hazardous; these chemicals are resistant not only to heat, water and stains but also to normal environmental degradation, which means they can accumulate in the soil, plants and air overtime to levels dangerous to humans and wildlife.

The American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH) stated the chemicals are a “confirmed animal carcinogen with unknown relevance to humans.” In addition, the EPA found there is “suggestive evidence” that PFOA and PFOS are cancerous to human bodies and can cause a variety of health complications.

There is currently no federal regulation on the amount of these chemicals in drinking water, but the EPA recommends the chemical levels should not exceed 70 parts per trillion.
When sampled in March, two of the three Tucson wells showed elevated PFOA and PFOS levels of 97 and 2,950 parts per trillion. Marana received sample results in January ranging from 68 to 101 parts per trillion.


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Posted By on Fri, Nov 9, 2018 at 12:45 PM


The Pima County Recorder's Office will begin calling anyone whose early ballot signature is missing or unreadable, starting on Friday afternoon.

A total of 418,000 ballots in Pima County were mailed in, with an additional 7,800 votes cast at early voting sites across the county, according to the Recorder's Office.

The Recorder's Office has verified 311,644 of those ballots, though an estimated 18,300 ballots require verification by phone because signatures on the ballot envelope did not match the signature on file at the county.

The Recorder's Office will call anyone whose signature is required, starting at 5 p.m. today. (So, if you get a call from an unknown number in the 520 area code, don't ignore it.)

Voters will have until 5 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 10, to contact the Recorder's Office at 520-724-4330, should they miss the office's phone call.

Anyone who wants to reach out to the Recorder's Office should ask for the "Problem Ballot Team," and can check their ballot status by going to www.recorder.pima.gov.

The latest polling results from the Arizona Secretary of State's Office show that Democratic candidate Krysten Sinema leads Republican Martha McSally, 49.09 percent to 48.61 percent, with a 9,163 vote difference between the two.

You can check out the updated polls here to see who will be the next United States senator to call the Grand Canyon State home. 

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