Thursday, November 8, 2018

Posted By on Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 5:19 PM


Democrat Kyrsten Sinema has taken a 2,106- 8,859- 9,610-vote lead over Republican Martha McSally in the U.S. Senate race after more ballots were tallied today. This one is remains in overtime.
Meanwhile, Democrat Kathy Hoffman has taken a 20,348-vote lead over Republican Frank Riggs, which could make the rookie candidate and former public school speech pathologist the first Democrat to win a statewide state office in a decade.

Garrett Archer, aka Data Guru, crunches what he knows about where the ballots still are (note: Pima has since reported some of its ballots, leading to Sinema's 7K jump between counts tonight):

Unfortunately, we won't be getting much more out of Archer tonight as he has his priorities right:

Pinal County, where McSally should pick up votes, says it has roughly 25K early ballots and 6800 provisional ballots to process:

Barrett Marson, who worked the anti-Sinema Defend Arizona campaign, predicts McSally will make up some of her lost ground:

Posted By on Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 5:01 PM

The SlutWalk is a worldwide protest march that is all about reclaiming the word slut, combating rape culture and taking solidarity with survivors of sexual assault. Tucson's 2018 chapter of the walk hit the sidewalks of Downtown Tucson on the evening Nov. 5th.

According to The Guardian, The movement started in 2011 in Toronto, in response to a cop, Michael Sanguinetti, said: "I've been told I'm not supposed to say this – however, women should avoid dressing like sluts in order not to be victimized."

This year's walk was organized by the UA's Women & Gender Resource Center (WGRC) and Feminists Organized to Resist, Create and Empower (FORCE). The march began from UA's Old Main and ended with a closing ceremony at the Rialto.

"We thought it was especially important this year with the #Metoo movement. Throughout every single march we have been tried to create a safe place and a place to speak out," said Lilly Cain, who helped organize the march. "We want it to be seen and known that we should be able to be safe in these streets, no matter how we dress. It shouldn't matter what time of day or night it is. We should not have to be surrounded by a crowd to feel safe in our own space, in our own bodies."

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Wednesday, November 7, 2018

Posted By on Wed, Nov 7, 2018 at 12:42 PM

Apropos of our earlier post about the too-close-to-call race U.S. Senate race between Democrat Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Martha McSally: Pima County election officials estimate that they still have more than 80,000 ballots to count, including 60K early ballots that were dropped off at the polls, 18K provisional ballots and roughly 7K ballots that were too messed up to go through the tabulating machine and need to be duplicated.

Posted By on Wed, Nov 7, 2018 at 11:18 AM

click to enlarge University of Arizona Police Warn Students After Multiple Assaults on Campus
UAPD patrol cars come with everything other police carshave—lights, sirens, officers and yes, citations.
The University of Arizona Police Department released a warning to students in the wake of a spate of assaults on the Tucson campus since the beginning of November.

According to the department, two assaults occurred in varying parts of the campus area on Nov. 3 and 5.

Both incidents involved female students that were attacked, with the first victim being pushed to the ground from behind near the 1500 block of East Drachman at 1:30 a.m. on Nov. 3 by a Hispanic male in a gray hoodie, the report said.

The second incident two days later occurred at 8:30 p.m. near the intersection of 6th street and Highland. The victim in that case couldn't recall what happened, saying she awoke while being dragged by the suspect.

The second victim described her assailant as being a white male over six feet tall with shoulder-length hair, a thick beard and a mustache, according to the report.

That victim was able to escape after kicking and punching the suspect, who then fled the scene after grabbing the victim's phone, the report said.

The UAPD released the report to warn students to be cautious around campus, and to report any suspicious activity in the area.

The Department reminds students that they can take utilize the university's SafeRide program by calling (520)-621-7233 in the evening.

You can report suspicious activity around campus by either calling 911 or 88-CRIME, if you wish to remain anonymous. 

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Posted By on Wed, Nov 7, 2018 at 12:45 AM

The Range does not have an official count of the number of outstanding ballots in Pima and Maricopa counties, but we're told by one political veteran that the number is somewhere around 600,000.

If that's the case, it will be some time before we know who won the U.S. Senate race between Democratic Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Congresswoman Martha McSally. At the moment, McSally has taken an unorthodox path to her roughly 16,000-vote lead as of the most recent tally.

McSally is losing both Maricopa (by roughly 8,000 votes) and Pima counties (by a much wider margin of roughly 37,000 votes) but she pulled off big wins in the conservative rural counties. Assuming that trend holds and most of the uncounted ballots are in Pima and Maricopa, the remaining ballots could favor Sinema enough to put her over the top.

This isn't the first time "Landslide" McSally has seen a race go into overtime. It took more than a week to compete the counts in both her first race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Ron Barber, which she lost by a few thousand votes, and her second race, in which she prevailed by 167 votes.

The close race also explains why the Arizona Republican Party is considering a bold legal move to disenfranchise late voters.

At any rate, this one ain't over ’til it's over.

This post has been updated to reflect new numbers as of 10:30 a.m. Wednesday, Nov. 7.

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Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Posted By on Tue, Nov 6, 2018 at 9:56 PM

Victoria Steele beats Randy Fleenor in Arizona Senate District 9
Courtesy Photo
Victoria Steele
Democratic candidate Victoria Steele is projected to beat Republican challenger Randy Fleenor in Arizona Senate District 9, which stretches from Casas Adobes and midtown Tucson to the Sabino Canyon area.

Steele, who served in the State House of Representatives from 2013-2016, is currently leading Fleenor by 16,102 votes, as of 9:52 p.m. Tuesday.

The state legislator threw her hands toward the sky from the lectern, thanking the crowd for their support in her victory speech.

"This was a referendum, we are now a check, we are a check on all of the horrible things that this GOP administration is doing," Steele said. "From D.C. to the capital of this state, we are a check on their anti-women, anti-immigrant and anti-environment agenda."

The former television news and radio anchor served two terms in the House of Representatives before moving to the State Senate.

Steele is thrilled to return to Phoenix to send a message to Governor Doug Ducey, who won reelection earlier in the evening on Tuesday.

"We are going to hold that line right now, and once I get up there, I will work my heart out for you guys, thank you," she said.

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Posted By on Tue, Nov 6, 2018 at 9:52 PM

Andrea Dalessandro Leads Shelley Kais in Arizona Senate District 2 Race
Courtesy Photo
Andrea Dalessandro
Longtime state legislator Andrea Dalessandro is well on her way to defeating Republican challenger Shelley Kais in the Arizona Senate District 2 race.

Dalessandro, who served in the Arizona House of Representatives from 2012-14, moved on to the Senate four years ago.

Her district, which includes much of Tucson, as well as parts of Sahuarita and Green Valley in southern Pima County, voted overwhelmingly to send her back to Phoenix.

As of 9:48 p.m., Dalessandro had a commanding 17 percent lead over Kais, virtually assuring her reelection.

Dalessandro thanked her constituents for their support on Election Night, saying her victory speaks to the bond she shares with those that live in the region.

"It feels terrific, because I’m a strong voice for Southern Arizona," she said. "I support the teachers and the students, and that’s what motivated me to run a decade ago."

Dalessandro said she's hopeful that the onslaught of women that won their elections at the state and federal level on Tuesday speaks to a demographic shift in America.

She also was hopeful that her longtime friend and former statehouse colleague Krysten Sinema would win her Senatorial campaign.

"I have personal relationships with both Congresswoman Sinema and Congresswoman [Ann] Kirkpatrick. They’re both personal friends of mine," Dalessandro said. "And I know that 45’s message—he got his base out—but he really motivated women across America to vote for other women, for professional women that work hard."

Dalessandro, who also knocked off Kais by double-digits in 2016, believes she's the right person to vouch for those that live in and around Pima County, saying she's thrilled to go back to the statehouse to represent everyone.

"I wish we had more pickups in the Arizona legislature, but, I’m ready to be a strong voice for Southern Arizona," she said.

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Posted By on Tue, Nov 6, 2018 at 8:35 PM

click to enlarge Legislative Races: Early Results Show Republican Clodfelter In Trouble
courtesy
Rep. Kirsten Engel
In the Southern Arizona legislative races to watch, the latest results show:

In the race for two Arizona House of Representatives Legislative District 10, Republican state Rep. Todd Clodfelter is falling behind Democratic state Rep. Kirsten Engel and Democratic challenger Domingo DeGrazia. Engel has 36 percent of the vote; DeGrazia has 31 percent; and Clodfelter has 27 percent.

In the Senate race in LD10, Democratic incumbent Dave Bradley is up over Republican challenger Marilyn Wiles, 59 percent to 41 percent.

In the race for two Arizona House of Representative seats in Legislative District 9, Democratic Reps. Randy Friese and Pamela Powers-Hannley ahead of Republican challenger Ana Henderson. Friese has 38 percent of the vote; Powers Hannley has 37 percent; and Henderson has 26 percent.

In the LD9 Senate race, Democrat Victoria has 64 percent of the vote, compared to Republican Randy Fleenor’s 36 percent.

In Legislative District 2, Democratic incumbent Sen. Andrea Dalessandro has a lead over Republican challenger Shelley Kais, 58 percent to 42 percent.

In the Democrat-leaning LD2 House race, incumbent Democratic Reps. Daniel Hernandez and Rosanna Galbadon are leading Republican challengers Chris Ackerley and Anthony Sizer.

In heavily Republican Legislative District 11, State Rep. Vince Leach looks like he’s headed for a promotion to the state Senate. He’s got 54 percent of the vote, compared to Democrat Ralph Atchue’s 45 percent.

In the LD11 House of Representatives race, the two Republicans—incumbent Rep. Mark Finchem and Bret Roberts—have a lead over the Democratic candidates, Hollace Lyon and Marcela Quiroz. Finchem has 28 percent; Roberts has 28 percent; Lyon has 23 percent; and Quiroz has 22 percent.

Posted By on Tue, Nov 6, 2018 at 8:25 PM

click to enlarge McSally Has Early Lead Over Sinema in US Senate Race; Kirkpatrick Ahead of Marquez Peterson in CD2
Courtesy
Kyrsten Sinema
With the latest release of election results:

In the marquee race of the night that will decide Arizona’s next U.S. senator, Republican Martha McSally has retaken the lead over Democrat Krysten Sinema, 49.24 percent to 48.47 percent.

In Southern Arizona’s highly competitive Congressional District 2, we're still awaiting results in the race between Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick is crushing Republican Lea Marquez Peterson, 58 percent to 42 percent.

Meanwhile, in Congressional District 1, incumbent Democrat Tom O’Halleran has a tighter lead over Republican Wendy Rogers. O'Halleran has nearly 51 percent of the vote to Rogers' 49 percent

In the heavily Democratic Congressional District 3, Democratic U.S. Rep. Raul Grijalva is crushing Republican challenger Nick Pierson, 60 percent to 40 percent.

Posted By on Tue, Nov 6, 2018 at 8:16 PM

click to enlarge Pima County Road Bonds Failing in Early Returns While Park Bonds Are Headed To Passage
Photo from Tucson Potholes.
Fix or no fix?
With the first results drawn from early ballots posted, it appears that Pima County voters are unwilling to spend more money on roads. Prop 463, which would allow the county to borrow $430 million for road bonds is failing, 56 percent to 44 percent.

Meanwhile, Tucson voters are supporting a $225 million bond package for parks, 55 percent to 45 percent.

Prop 408, which would move the city of Tucson’s elections to even years in line with presidential and midterms elections, is being rejected by 56 percent of the voters.

Pima County officials still need to count the ballots cast at polling places today, as well as early ballots that arrived in recent days or were dropped off at polling places and remain to be processed.