Posted By Jim Nintzel on Sat, Nov 10, 2018 at 5:22 PM

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With Maricopa County delivering a number batch of ballot results, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema is now leading Republican Martha McSally in the race for U.S. Senate. Hard to see how McSally comes back after this.

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Meanwhile, Democrat Sandra Kennedy has jumped into first place over Republicans Justin Olson and Rodney Glassman in the race for two seats on the Arizona Corporation Commission.

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And in the contest for Arizona Secretary of State, Democrat Katie Hobbs has closed within 3,158 votes. Stay tuned: Rumor has it there's rougly 250K ballots left to count out there.

Update: AZ Data Guru puts the estimate of outstanding ballots at 268K. With 198K of those in Maricopa County and 36K in Pima County (where Sinema has been beating McSally), it sure sounds like McSally is gonna have to count on getting appointed to the McCain/Kyl seat if she's going back to D.C.

Arizona Outstanding ballot estimate 11/10 5:35PM

Apache: 200
Cochise: 650
Coconino: 9.6k
La Paz: 576
Maricopa: 198k
Navajo: 1k
Pima: 36.3k
Pinal: 21.6k

State of Arizona: 268k

— The AZ Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 11, 2018

Posted By Jim Nintzel on Fri, Nov 9, 2018 at 5:07 PM

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With the latest drop of ballots from Maricopa County, Democrat Kyrsten Sinema now has a 21,185-vote lead over Republican Martha McSally in Arizona's hotly contested race for U.S. Senate. That's gonna be hard for McSally to recover from, especially with 60,000 Pima County early ballots yet to count.

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In other AZ election news, Democrat Sandra Kennedy has moved narrowly ahead of wretched-excuse-for-a-human-being and Republican candidate Rodney Glassman in the race for Arizona Corporation Commission.

Garrett Archer, the data guru at the Arizona Secretary of State's Office, has deleted an earlier estimate of about 362K ballots left to count.

Posted By Christopher Boan on Fri, Nov 9, 2018 at 12:45 PM

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The Pima County Recorder's Office will begin calling anyone whose early ballot signature is missing or unreadable, starting on Friday afternoon.

A total of 418,000 ballots in Pima County were mailed in, with an additional 7,800 votes cast at early voting sites across the county, according to the Recorder's Office.

The Recorder's Office has verified 311,644 of those ballots, though an estimated 18,300 ballots require verification by phone because signatures on the ballot envelope did not match the signature on file at the county.

The Recorder's Office will call anyone whose signature is required, starting at 5 p.m. today. (So, if you get a call from an unknown number in the 520 area code, don't ignore it.)

Voters will have until 5 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 10, to contact the Recorder's Office at 520-724-4330, should they miss the office's phone call.

Anyone who wants to reach out to the Recorder's Office should ask for the "Problem Ballot Team," and can check their ballot status by going to www.recorder.pima.gov.

The latest polling results from the Arizona Secretary of State's Office show that Democratic candidate Krysten Sinema leads Republican Martha McSally, 49.09 percent to 48.61 percent, with a 9,163 vote difference between the two.

You can check out the updated polls here to see who will be the next United States senator to call the Grand Canyon State home. 

Tags: Arizona Senate , Krysten Sinema , Martha McSally , Pima County Recorder's Office , Tucson , United States Senate , Washington D.C. , Drain the Swamp , Image

Posted By Clay Jones on Fri, Nov 9, 2018 at 10:23 AM

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Posted By Jim Nintzel on Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 5:19 PM

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Democrat Kyrsten Sinema has taken a 2,106- 8,859- 9,610-vote lead over Republican Martha McSally in the U.S. Senate race after more ballots were tallied today. This one is remains in overtime.

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Meanwhile, Democrat Kathy Hoffman has taken a 20,348-vote lead over Republican Frank Riggs, which could make the rookie candidate and former public school speech pathologist the first Democrat to win a statewide state office in a decade.

Garrett Archer, aka Data Guru, crunches what he knows about where the ballots still are (note: Pima has since reported some of its ballots, leading to Sinema's 7K jump between counts tonight):

Outstanding ballots 11/8 6pm
Apache: 4.6k
Cochise: 4.7k
Coconino: 10.5k
Gila: unk (0 est.)
La Paz: 576
Maricopa: 345k
Mohave: unk (8k est.)
Navajo: 4k
Pima: 80k
Pinal: 30k
Santa Cruz: 2.2k
Yavapai: 6k
Yuma: 350

— The AZ Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2018

Unfortunately, we won't be getting much more out of Archer tonight as he has his priorities right:

Personal Note: It's daughter's dance night. I'm out. I will notify if additional files are published, but I am unable to see which county on my phone. Have a good night.

— The AZ Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2018

Pinal County, where McSally should pick up votes, says it has roughly 25K early ballots and 6800 provisional ballots to process:

We have approx. 25,000 early and 6,800 provisional ballots left to process. We will post another update on 11-09-18. https://t.co/vchz4QZfPZ

— Pinal Co. Elections (@Pinal_Elections) November 9, 2018

Barrett Marson, who worked the anti-Sinema Defend Arizona campaign, predicts McSally will make up some of her lost ground:

Come Saturday, the people who dropped off early ballots at the polls (like me) will start getting counted. And if tradition holds, they will favor GOP. The history of #AzSen will be written Saturday.

— barrett marson (@barrettmarson) November 9, 2018

Posted By Clay Jones on Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 10:36 AM

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Tags: comics , cartoon , politics , Claytoonz , corruption , Trump , Image

Posted By Jim Nintzel on Wed, Nov 7, 2018 at 12:42 PM

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Apropos of our earlier post about the too-close-to-call race U.S. Senate race between Democrat Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Martha McSally: Pima County election officials estimate that they still have more than 80,000 ballots to count, including 60K early ballots that were dropped off at the polls, 18K provisional ballots and roughly 7K ballots that were too messed up to go through the tabulating machine and need to be duplicated.

Posted By Clay Jones on Wed, Nov 7, 2018 at 8:57 AM

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Tags: comics , cartoons , politics , claytoonz , election , signs , on to the next , Image

Posted By Jim Nintzel on Wed, Nov 7, 2018 at 12:45 AM

The Range does not have an official count of the number of outstanding ballots in Pima and Maricopa counties, but we're told by one political veteran that the number is somewhere around 600,000.

If that's the case, it will be some time before we know who won the U.S. Senate race between Democratic Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Congresswoman Martha McSally. At the moment, McSally has taken an unorthodox path to her roughly 16,000-vote lead as of the most recent tally.

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McSally is losing both Maricopa (by roughly 8,000 votes) and Pima counties (by a much wider margin of roughly 37,000 votes) but she pulled off big wins in the conservative rural counties. Assuming that trend holds and most of the uncounted ballots are in Pima and Maricopa, the remaining ballots could favor Sinema enough to put her over the top.

This isn't the first time "Landslide" McSally has seen a race go into overtime. It took more than a week to compete the counts in both her first race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Ron Barber, which she lost by a few thousand votes, and her second race, in which she prevailed by 167 votes.

The close race also explains why the Arizona Republican Party is considering a bold legal move to disenfranchise late voters.

At any rate, this one ain't over ’til it's over.

This post has been updated to reflect new numbers as of 10:30 a.m. Wednesday, Nov. 7.

Tags: McSally , Sinema , politics , elections , Arizona , ballots , senate , Image

Posted By Danyelle Khmara on Tue, Nov 6, 2018 at 10:58 PM

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Danyelle Khmara

Goodbye Clodfelter. We'll miss your socially moderate views.

Tucson-area Democrats winning Senate races:
LD2 incumbent Andrea Dalessandro leading Shelley Kais by 16.4 percentage points.
LD9 candidate Victoria Steele leading primary-race write-in candidate Randy Fleenor by 27.8 percentage points.
LD10 incumbent David Bradley leading Marilyn Wiles by 18.6.

Also House races:
LD2 incumbents Rosanna Gabaldón and Daniel Hernandez Jr. are beating Republican John Christopher Ackerley.
LD9 incumbents Randy Friese and Pamela Powers Hannley are beating Ana Henderson, in a 2016 reboot.
LD10 looks to be turning from a split district to full Democrat with incumbent Todd Clodfelter loosing his seat to newcomer Domingo DeGrazia and incumbent Kirsten Engel.

Clodfelter has had some bad press in the last year, for having a Confederate flag screen saver and an old Ashley Madison account. But he thought being more socially moderate would save him. He even put out elections signs that read: Democrats for Clodfelter.